The negative chart pattern like lower tops and bottoms is active on the daily chart and the market has not shown any decisive upside bounce so far.
India VIX was up by 0.99% from 12.12 to 12.24 levels. Volatility rose above 12.5 during the day and has been rising from the last few sessions.
Options data suggests a broader trading range in between 19,000 to 19,700 zones, while an immediate trading range was in between 19,200 to 19,500 zones.
What should traders do? Here’s what analysts said:
Rupak De, Senior Technical analyst at LKP Securities
The prevailing sentiment stays negative as the index continues to stay below the crucial moving average. Looking at the upper range, the sell-on-rise approach might be more effective as long as the level of 19,525 remains unbroken. On the downside, levels around 19,250 serve as immediate support in case of any decline.
Nagaraj Shetti, HDFC Securities
The short-term trend of Nifty remains choppy with weak bias. There is a possibility of a downside breakout of the key lower support around 19,300-19,250 levels in the short term and that could possibly drag Nifty down to another support of 19,100-19,000 levels in the near term. Any rise from here could find strong hurdles at 19,600 levels.Shrikant Chouhan, Head of Research (Retail), Kotak Securities
Technically, the market is consistently facing selling pressure near the 19,480 level, while regularly taking support near 19,320. In addition, on daily charts, the index has formed a bearish inside candle, indicating that non-directional activity is likely to continue in the near future. We are of the view that 19,320 could be the sacrosanct support zone for the market, below which, the index could slip to 19,250-19,200, while any fresh uptrend rally is possibly only after the dismissal of 19,480. Above the same, the market could move up till 19,535-19,585.
Jatin Gedia, Technical Research Analyst at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas
On the daily charts, we can observe that Nifty has been range bound between 19,250 – 19,500 since the past three trading sessions. On the downside, the zone of 19,300 – 19,400 where support in the form of the 40-day moving average and the daily lower Bollinger band is placed is acting as crucial support while 19,450 – 19,500 where the falling resistance trend line is placed is acting as a resistance.
Thus, the index is consolidating between these two parameters. The daily and the hourly momentum indicator has a negative crossover which is a sell signal. Overall, there are no signs of a trend reversal, and hence the short-term outlook is negative. On the downside we expect the index to target levels of 19,100.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)